Late Day Sell-off Mustache Uppercutby Danny on March 4th, 2008 at 1:24:17 pm |
“How ’bout a late-day rally, midget slave?”
Your mustache, not mine. I covered a lot. I still have upside exposure to the downside, just less.
The question…go long?
Not really.
I am not inclined to go long any (SSO: 24.45 -3.85%), nor am I inclined to buy (SDS: 103.29 +4.86%). I don’t think either trade has great risk:reward right now, mostly due to headline risk, though a bounce tomorrow seems reasonable. In fact, we will likely go to 1340-55 before going back to 1310. I would love the op. to short higher. [Ed. note: I added a small amount of SDS at the close.]
CNBC paints the picture with rose-tinted glasses, however I feel more likely that today’s rally was the result of a good ol’ fashioned Gasparino logjam.
Still, (INTC: 13.00 -2.40%)’s recovery says a lot and a green finish to the Naz confirms that. I think we have a bullish bias for short term traders, whatever the source (genuine optimism or short covering) and this should be considered going forward.
Chart:
Bullish: Notice we didn’t close below 1310, the low in Jan. ST target 1340.
Bearish: We have negative readings in several momentum indicators and a totally failed bounce highlighted in the blue oval. We broke the dashed green line support. Overhead resistance at 1340 and 1370.












That chart looks like poo poo.
March 4th, 2008 at 2:56:01 pmthat’s why it’s there
March 4th, 2008 at 3:09:35 pm