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Technical Analysis, Stock Market Indicators — iBankCoin

Bad News Bears

by Danny on August 4th, 2008 at 3:19:36 pm

Since Cramer’s egregious bottom call, which was poorly timed, stocks have NOT been sold down in a big way. Commodities of every lame variety and use have shit a collective brick, and that is bullish for the market’s perception of things. I was told commodities and Fins will lead this market. Well, the bad one is going lower and the crippled one is staying put.

While there aren’t many [if any] fundamental reasons to go higher, that won’t necessarily preclude us from doing so, especially in the sectors that have worked (hand grenades). I can see us hitting 1325, but first we need 1285.

While the amount of bad news lately has been ungodly, we just haven’t been hit hard. I think that’s bullish too. What style of bad news do we need to go lower? Clearly, a huge dilution from MER, the FDIC taking over failing banks, questionable earnings, and a commodities explosion ain’t gonna do it. While there’s great cause for the market to go lower in some months time, I just don’t see it in the immediate, near future.

Using the iBC Machine as a true gauge of buying and selling strength, not simply the percentage change in the indices, it is clear buyers are still in control. Once that changes, I too will change my tune.

Stay tuned later tonight for the iBC Machine Daily Updateâ„¢.

Off to get coffee and free skateboards.

Comments welcome, but possibly scorned.

3 Responses to “Bad News Bears”

  1. Cajun Says:

    Danny, are you buying anything here?

  2. Juice Says:

    Cramers latest whipsaw: He is getting whipsawed like an unranked amateur, not someone who supposedly took no prisoners at his hedge fund for 20 years.

    http://www.thestreet.com/p/rmoney/jimcramerblog/10431770.html

    Path of Least Resistance? Down

    “There is a trade coming up to the long side after we go down a lot, but right now the short side is the easy side.”

  3. Danny Says:

    RC - I’m pretty cautious and didn’t add anything today.

    The only things I have added to or bought in the last week is EW, VRUS, SKF, [update, forgot UTHR] and short a small amount of ANF and TSCM.

    That’s it.

    Today was ok, but then the end got ugly and may have changed the machine. And we closed under the 20 day.

    I am still, at this moment, thinking we go higher until I confirm those indicators.

    Juice - Cramer is retarded and wrong. Does that mean that the market is going higher?

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