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Trannies: A Technical Look

by The Fly on April 2nd, 2008 at 10:50 pm

As you can see by my careful analysis, the transports are bumping up against “the line of (certain) death” resistance. That shit is like a brick wall. No way it breaks that, son.

Also, if you notice on the graph above, “trannies blow.” Moreover, over the past year, tops have been met with “mad faces.” Although I do not see a mad face at the present, I expect one to develop, literally any day.

Finally, it’s worth nothing, this recent trannie run is being fueled by “bullshit” volume. Furthermore, most importantly, there is an ominous “tic-tac-toe top” formation at current levels.

If I were trading the transports, I’d sell them quicker than a 1 dollar pork sandwich in Beijing.

Trade accordingly.

45 Responses to “Trannies: A Technical Look”

  1. colonic Says:

    That’s some good stuff… and you say you’re not a chart chomper. I think you’ve been holding out on us!

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  2. Slater866 Says:

    that shit is nasty

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  3. chivasontherocks Says:

    i have to admit, that’s pretty fucking funny. i give up reading charts.

    they will break to the upside.

    i wish i could give you 5 stars.

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  4. Kiwin Says:

    Solid analysis.

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  5. PoorOkie Says:

    As always, classic shit Fly!

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  6. Ragin' Cajun Says:

    tic tac toe is a good setup, this one could explode!

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  7. newequity Says:

    gotta love blowing trannies and fuckity tech analysis.

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  8. T-Bone Hindu Says:

    If the jobless claims are above 350k to 370k, look for another 80K in job losses. If its above 370K, which i doubt, believe that we will get less than 45K in job losses, which will look better than expected on Friday. Cover shorts for major indices during end of thursday if a huge jobless claim is reported.

    Where the data to prove this, you will have to think really really hard but its there..hint look at the past 8 months of all jobless claims and the payroll reports, there is a huge discrepancy.

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  9. Woodshedder Says:

    ADP Report has +5K jobs.

    I think the jobs report will be less than 45K losses, and the market will rally on the news.

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  10. The Fly Says:

    I think the reports will be more than 100k in lost jobs and Godzilla will eat the Nasdaq building.

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  11. Woodshedder Says:

    I think that you should be careful anytime you are looking under the hood of a trannie.

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  12. Woodshedder Says:

    Speaking of trannies, Fly, you didn’t draw your signature cock n’ balls on this chart?? WTF?

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  13. hmm Says:

    I am looking at a chart of HSCEI.IND vs. SHSZ300.IND (Hong Kong vs. China mainland shares). They track each other pretty well up until 3/19, at which point they start moving in completely opposite fashion (mainland continues downtrend, HK shares melt up). Just curious, what the fuck is going on over there? Did they secretly change it so FXI is now the inverse ETF for China?

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  14. JakeGint Says:

    I definitely see a “mad face” formation in the August ‘07 time frame.

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  15. alphadawgg Says:

    The Fly doesn’t want to admit that his son is a chart chomper. Nice analysis, Fly Jr.!

    (You can tell he’s his father’s son.)

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  16. BOOMER Says:

    Q: How do you get the bird flu?

    A: Banging a tranny with a nose bleed behind the Popeye’s Chicken.

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  17. alphadawgg Says:

    WTF are you east coasters doing up at this time? Don’t you guys ever sleep?

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  18. mdawsz Says:

    Yeah…where’s the signature cock ‘n balls of death??

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  19. alphadawgg Says:

    The last time the Fly put up a bearish technical analysis chart, didn’t the market rally? That and the beholden “golden bear” will get us over 13,000 again.

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  20. howard lindzon Says:

    i own the domain http://www.chartsgonewild.com so maybe we set up a section of the site for charts like this. hot chicks and charts…

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  21. WallStreetHunter Says:

    Geezus H!

    The new look, cool charts I can understand, Ragin’s get’n hitched.
    This place is ON FIRE!

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  22. Carter Worth Says:

    The pinnacle of technical analysis. This site is now complete.

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  23. Robert Prechter Says:

    Brilliant!

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  24. Louise Yamada Says:

    I am adding the “Line of Death” to my lexicon.
    Thanks

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  25. Andy Warhol Says:

    The picture on the front page to this post is priceless.

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  26. George Bush Says:

    I don’t get it. Should we send troops to that line of death?

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  27. TraderCaddy Says:

    George Bush- Obviously the Trannies need to be eliminated as they are weapons of mass destruction.

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  28. Ralp Acampora Says:

    Your T&A is second to NONE! If I wasn’t still living off that one GREAT (lucky) call I made, waay (the fuck) back when?, I’d hand my reins over to you.

    Move over Shredder’o-Wood, make room for … Da-Fly !

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  29. Juice Says:

    btw Fly, I’d lay off that FXY. HSI & SSEC have come down too far to bet against here. You may(of course) be right, but I don’t think the risk/reward is there, at the moment.

    In fact, I think its a better bet to go the other way and possibly dust off a basket of some of those dusty Chinese Lotto picks. The former leaders should lead and when the run is about over, the crap. And when the crap starts floating, I’d get long FXP.

    thats my game plan, du moment… subject to minutely/hourly/daily revision, of course.

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  30. Welcome Says:

    Fly: The voice of sanity on Wall St and funny as hell.
    Welcome to the Show: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pxo3OnekPg8
    Tomfoolery but no tomfuckery at IBC

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  31. The Fly Says:

    I’m all out of FXY.

    Yen is going lower.

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  32. gappingandyapping Says:

    Well it looks like ATA (A Terrible Airline) has done gone under. How bout a fucking bailout Ben? Why doesn’t anyone care about the airlines?

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  33. gappingandyapping Says:

    Holly shit look at the jobless claims!!!!

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  34. nullpointer Says:

    first time claims up 10 fucking percent in a week

    reality sucks, eh?

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  35. TraderCaddy Says:

    Wasn’t ATA a subsidiary of LUV (SW Air)?

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  36. larry Says:

    Alias: BPOE

    After first time clams Cramer calls an L shaped market.
    WTF. He makes out by saying anything that sounds smart.
    He is having the time of his life. L shaped market!!! I
    love it. Only FLY’s time machine can out do Cramer.

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  37. JakeGint Says:

    Do we have any West Coasters that read this blog? Besides SoCal Danny, I mean? Any from the communist part of the state?

    Yes, even more communism for San Francisco.

    Watch for the special appearance by Green Writer!

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  38. Elton John Says:

    Tranny’s do blow

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  39. JakeGint Says:

    Bruce,

    Did you mean FXP or FXY? FXY doesn’t make much sense given the context of the rest of your post….

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  40. Dale Earnhardt Jr.'s pit chief Says:

    Tranny’s do blow.

    You can say thet agin’, Sir Elton!

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  41. JakeGint Says:

    I guess the answer to my question is “Because no one ever watches ‘CNN Money’” but I’m still going to ask it –

    How come no one ever mentions this babe, Poppy Harlow?

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  42. JakeGint Says:

    Wow, I guess RIMM was a decent short in the AH last night.

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  43. Alvari40 Says:

    Jake,

    Not exactly from The City, but the Big Sac (where I am from) is only an hour away. BTW, looks like all the guys on CNBC have found common ground - everyone hates them. Instead of comming together to be defiant, understand the fucking message. Arrogant pricks.

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  44. wow Says:

    That Jobless Claims report is awesome! Sets up for more rate cuts! Don’t FIGHT THE FED! January Effect! ELECTION YEAR RALLY! V-Shaped Bottom! Early Cycle Recovery! THE BOTTOM IS IN! BUY BUY BUY!

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  45. CubsRock Says:

    Yeah Jake, Pete Najarian will never profit from his nice RIMM options strategy. One of the bad things about options.

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