iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,418 Blog Posts

The Signs Are Everywhere

We are bottoming somewhere around these levels. I can feel it in my fucking bones.

The VIX is at egregious levels. People are so depressed, they are lining up to kill themselves via howitzer. Long term bears, like Mr. Big Picture (who called the bottom in 2002), is now going long. Hedge funds are closing up shop, big and small. Investors are ignoring fundamentals and, instead, are embracing fear.

Without a doubt, we are in the midst of the most troubling times this country has ever faced, at least financially. So, do not go balls to the wall long, without having cash reserves. At the present, I have a 45% cash position and will hold 25%, no matter what, unless we dive to 7,500.

Inflation feels good. Deflation feels bad. I learned that shit in caveman school.

Eventually, the market will get back to normal and you will regret not nibbling, like a small rat inside a cave made from chocolate, down at these levels.

If you enjoy the content at iBankCoin, please follow us on Twitter

82 comments

  1. IShortYouNot

    Good guidance – assuming there’s nothing coming out of right field all black swanny. Which I expect there will be but by definition I gots no clue as to what. I’ve put a solid long position on as well.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  2. bistocksual

    bistocksual Says:

    Sr. Tropicana……..you still involved w/ MVIS? been hearing chatter of military interest, care to opine?

    October 16th, 2008 at 12:27 pm
    No opinion????

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  3. The Fly

    Please do not talk MVIS. I don’t want to go down that rout, else I will have to kill you.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  4. Bill aka NO DooDahs!

    Called the bottom in 2002, then called the top in 2004, 2005, 2006, and 2007.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  5. The Game is Rigged
    The Game is Rigged

    Oils, sold to you.

    When CVX stops trading like BIDU i’ll get back in.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  6. bistocksual

    so sorry to hit raw nerve……..

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  7. Joe 1-Ball

    Grabbing my remaining ball and scaling into QLD.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  8. Rally Kneale Jr.

    Fuck you Fly – I get all of my indepth market color from CNBC

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  9. Chicken Man Says:

    Chicken Man Says: Says:

    Barrak will raise taxes, put speculation hounds on gurneys, its the “new deal” area with a touch of middle finger. You’re a bunch of uncles.

    October 16th, 2008 at 1:51 pm

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  10. 4fl3x

    I hope your right Fly. I could go down as the first person to go long after vix of 60 and get wiped out…

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  11. Black Swan 2

    GS to zero

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  12. Black Swan 2

    I’m an idiot, and I like men

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  13. Distressed Volatility

    you are my new favorite blog.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  14. Retard with 140 IQ
    Retard with 140 IQ

    Chicken Man – are you related to Calvino?

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  15. The Fly

    NOV and MOS are instruments of the devil, no doubt.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  16. TED spread your pussy
    TED spread your pussy

    Until we get the spread down, don’t go heavy!

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  17. Donny

    Well Fuckers, if we don’t get a solid bid on this bullshit stock market soon, I’m gonna dump my SSO shares.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  18. The Fly

    I am everyone’s favorite blog.

    I am “The Blog Father.”

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  19. 4fl3x

    Grandpa Fly, tell us a story of how the 2001-2002 bottom felt?

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  20. The Fly

    Donny:

    Get long two bricks of blow and a case of Miller “High Life.”

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  21. The Fly

    I will tell you no such stories.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  22. Dinosaur Trader

    Blog Father… that’s good.

    The crew in Dennino’s will appreciate that.

    -DT

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  23. Donny

    TED Spread down 23 basis points today … and at the weekly low.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  24. The Fly

    If the market doesn’t rally, it will go down—no doubt.

    Words to live by.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  25. Distressed Volatility

    The Blogg Father

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  26. pooperShooter

    After making nearly 65% in two weeks on the market fall, I have lost 40% in the last 4 days with this drunken market action…. God I hope ur right fly or my trading days are numbered…

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  27. Chicken Man Says:

    Im buying watermellon calls, shorting uncle tom’s.

    Then gitten some high life.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  28. The Fly

    Fuck TED and his russian cousin LIBOR.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  29. The Fly

    Poopshooter:

    You have the trading acumen of a retarded martian. God speed.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  30. JakeGint

    Just sold MON November 75’s for $9.00!

    Lol!

    Oh pleeeze, don’t make buy MON for $66 bux!

    _________

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  31. The Fly

    “The Great Depression” is off the table, as per Cramer.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  32. The Fly

    Dry bulk shipping rates are so low, the ships will dock soon, sending MON to $8.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  33. Geico Caveman

    I’m never coming to this blog again

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  34. Needle dick the bug fucker

    Bloody airlines are now a great business model.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  35. 10304 representative
    10304 representative

    yo fly whatup, i just heard you are a staten islander….is this for real?

    traded d

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  36. pooper Shooter

    Hammer time today boys…. if we close at the highs then fly is vindicated and will look like a genius tomorrow…. if we fall like expensive hookers on the upper east side then look out below tomorrow….

    by the way Plumber Joe just told me (through Obama), “YOUR SHIT IS MY BUSINESS.”

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  37. shave and a hair cut

    Geico Caveman Says:

    I’m never coming to this blog again

    October 16th, 2008 at 2:15 pm
    —————-

    Good riddence

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  38. jig

    check out EBS…hitting new highs today…any thoughts?

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  39. TraderCaddy

    Oh Blog Father. Got any offers that can’t be refused (Michael Corleone in Godfather)?
    Or something like that.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  40. JakeGint

    Fuck TED and his russian cousin, LIBOR.

    Pronounced “LEE-bor.”

    _________

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  41. Looking for a sign
    Looking for a sign

    Anyone seen a sign for the bottom? Just wondering. Trying to make my way from the top (where I bought), to the bottom (where I’ll sell).

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  42. anjing bau

    POT….. down 50 in 3 days

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  43. Anton Cigur

    Sequel to “Wall Street” illustrating where we are now:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2P8NjdIy0_M&feature=related

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  44. JakeGint

    Also sold the November JNJ 65’s (puts) for almost $6.

    ______

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  45. Gay Joke Guy

    Yeah, fuck TED.

    Also, damn the difference between the interest on interbank loans and short-term US government debt.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  46. Maket Fool

    “Donny:
    Get long two bricks of blow and a case of Miller “High Life.”

    ^^^ That there is some funny shit mang.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  47. The Zombie

    Got back from Vegas yesterday. That town was packed. Foot traffic was high. Taxi lines were long.
    Call girls and craps tables are depression proof.
    One of our cabbies said the Chicken Ranch (long cab ride from Vegas) was robbed. Apparently a multi cop car chase ensued. Then they added a chopper to the mix. How stupid do you have to be to rob a whore house? Especially that one! Didn’t they see what happened to Doogie in Harold and Kumar 2?

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  48. sniper6

    Cue the melt up until 3:38 pm, then segue into Merlin mode. Lights, roll camera, and,… action!

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  49. Dennis Kneale Mates With The Rally Monkey
    Dennis Kneale Mates With The Rally Monkey

    Another day, another 10% loss in MOS.

    Look at the bright side. When it was a $60 stock, a 10% loss was $6. Now a 10% loss is only $3.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  50. BLACK SWAN 2

    I’m coming.

    I’m bringing all hell with me, so break out your tin foil body suits, reflective side out.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  51. Really B Qualified
    Really B Qualified

    OBV says NOV sellers wont get in the way here the buying spurts are greater than the selling here!

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  52. TraderCaddy

    Question- Why would somebody want to rob chickens from a Chicken Ranch and wouldn’t the location of a Chicken Ranch be better in a rural area than in an urban area like Vegas?
    I don’t get it.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  53. DSB

    Who bets we get another forced-redemption based, demoralizing end of day slide? (what sniper said)

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  54. Rally Kneale Jr.

    Fuck you black swan…Dennis Kneale says it ain’t a loss if you don’t sell, that means I’m still in a bull market…I just can’t sell anything

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  55. These Colors Don't Run
    These Colors Don't Run

    This action looks like a repeat of last Friday.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  56. BLACK SWAN 2

    Deadly sperm, see above.

    Despite what White Robes tells you…it is written.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  57. ALLPROz

    Yes, end of day will be my guidance….so I miss a few points….would rather feel warm and fuzzy going long than hollow and alone….

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  58. Paulson fked up by not bailing Lehman – he will fk up again. You gotta go with the flow – the trend is your friend – the BEAR lives! Obama is gonna trash and crash the mkt – just watch.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  59. BLACK SWAN

    Fuck! Not my step brother!

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  60. The Seafarer

    I have been reading this blog for the past several months — all you guys are awsome!!!

    This is what the bottom feels like:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ulByRIz-f3Y&NR=1

    Do you think we are there yet?

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  61. BLACK SWAN 5

    Dow 5000 tomorrow… In honor I will burn a DOW 36,000 book from 8 years ago.

    Someone please tell me when to sell since I am perfect at buying the tops and selling the bottoms…

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  62. ALLPROz

    Insider Info:

    The FLY will single handedly go all in NOW and cause the worm to turn…up that is….

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  63. The Fly

    This market is idiotic.

    I need to go get me some “High Life.”

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  64. Rally Kneale Jr.

    Everybody fuckin shut up…Cramer’s talking

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  65. sniper6

    DSB-

    one can only be demoralized, as long as morale remains. I know in my current mind state, not much can phase me. What one might call a “bunker mentality”.

    Which is to be differentiated from the “Archie Bunker Mentality” that I also have been accused of exhibiting now and then.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  66. RC

    lol

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  67. TraderCaddy

    This market is as jumpy as a Mexican crossing the Rio Grande.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  68. Anton Cigur

    Crammer advises Uncle Sam to double down, OTB style, on the market w/the Social Security money we’re never going to see anyway.

    Why the fuck not?

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  69. Paradigm Shift

    Private equity buying bank paper as high up the capital structure as possible.

    They will run the bank common up last.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  70. shave and a hair cut

    this market can shake out my beard. Lots of nesting “chicks”

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  71. TraderCaddy

    There is no actual Social Security $$. Just a bunch of promissory notes. We can exchange those notes for actual stock certificates. A simple paper exchange.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  72. Needle dick the bug fucker

    Anton Cigur Says:

    Crammer advises Uncle Sam to double down, OTB style, on the market w/the Social Security money we’re never going to see anyway.

    Why the fuck not?

    October 16th, 2008 at 2:52 pm

    Ya why the fuck not. Its only some one elses money. To which I will print more.

    What a stupid system.!

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  73. ALLPROz

    Will fundamentals actually come back in vogue?
    Nah, that would make too much sense…

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  74. sniper6

    New government program to replace Social Security unveiled- it’s called Antisocial Insecurity.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  75. Anton Cigur

    Needs,
    Maybe I should have added, “He’s been right about everything else.”

    AAPlus down ???% now?

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  76. Juancho

    Merlin is currently doing lines off Erin Burnett’s booty backstage at CNBC.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  77. Anton Cigur

    Or, “What could go wrong?”

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  78. sniper6

    That’s some serious line-age. Like an interstate farkin’ highway line.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  79. ALLPROz

    TED and LIBOR seem to be traders only guide these days…go with what works I guess…

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  80. Needle dick the bug fucker

    bottom might be in, UYG is treading h20… However raising tides baby.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  81. Aris

    fuck i wish i were home to see what goes on after the bell when IBM and GOOG report. i suspect IBM’s rosy future won’t be so rosy.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  82. Aris

    goddamn they are just puking up NOV like food poisoning.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"