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Here Are My Top 5 Positions

I have no shame in my position, being 110% net long. I’ve made my bed and continue to lie in it, hedonistically, eating grapes, drinking ambrosia.

This is a full disclosure blog, as I let the people be my ultimate judge and jury (it’s worth noting, The House of Fly does not recognize any court of law as its equal and shall respond violently to any sentencing upon the estate).

1. RAS

2. USG

3. BZH

4. WNC

5. BV

For the day, I am flat.

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Removing the Veil of Secrecy for a Moment

I’ve been moving parts around like a homeless man with a shopping cart. Being that my gains are superior to yours, yet again, I felt it was incumbent upon me to disclose my top 10 positions, by size. This is unprecedented for the mezzo cito, so pay attention and take notes.

1. VHC
2. USG
3. HMC
4. FBHS
5. WNC
6. WETF
7. ELLI
8. GS
9. NIHD
10. KMB

Slowly but surely, my portfolio will reflect core themes: housing and Japan. Both are reflating and will appreciate in price. With Japan, I’ve opted to buy the asset management company of popular ETF, DXJ, in favor of traditional names like CAJ or NMR. The biggest loser on that list is ELLI. I am patient with it because it’s a small position and because the fundamentals point to high growth, low valuations. If they miss earnings, I will likely sell and cut my losses.

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P and L On Current Holdings

VHC +14%
EXK -8%
ADTN- new
CROX +5%
SWHC -8%
UA -6.5%

In addition to that, I own some old man stocks, even a little FB and AAPL–but nothing too meaningful. I have nothing to hide here, playing an open hand for better or for worse. Do you think I give a shit what any of you think? I’ve got real world problems to deal with, patent litigation lawsuits against the largest corporations in the world to worry about, not the opinions of the meek.

Although my current roster of stocks looks like something out of the handbook for “INVESTING LIKE A FUCKING LOSER”, all of those stocks will trade higher. I don’t have an interest in executing stop losses in names that I know to be inexpensive.

The only thing separating “The Fly” from greatness is time.

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Sears Squeeze

If there is one stock that embodies the very definition of short squeeze, it’s SHLD. Shorts hate it more than Muslims hate on gay Jewish alcoholic catholic priests fighting for contractors in Iraq. The Chairman is a fucking hedge fund manager, Eddie Lampert. It’s a Jim Cramer fav. And, to boot, their fucking stores suck. Yet, they still manage to generate lots of cash. Plus, they own a fuckload of real estate.

Any minor uptick in sales causes the stock to run naked through the streets of Wall, stabbing short sellers in the eyes until the tip of the blade falls off. It truly is one of those stocks.

Yesterday, JAH posted better than expected results. In my opinion, as well as the opinion of others, this bodes well for SHLD, as JAH‘s shit lines their store shelves. Give SHLD a reason to run, Mr. Burlap short seller, and it will turn your brokerage account into a zero sum, inactive account, subject to closure.

At the present, SHLD is my second largest position.

I am not sure where the market is going today. However, it’s rather obvious the dollar is heading lower. It seems we are in a loop, like the movie groundhog day. Some of you think stuff is changing. But in reality, everything is exactly the same.

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BEHOLD: My Current Positions

You hear me talking a lot of shit about random names, as if I was addled with a severe learning disability. Well, like in all grand plans there is a blueprint, a method of sorts, to my madness.

My current positions:

Ticker Quote Hybrid Bias Last Modified
75.3 (2.66) 4.11 N/A 12/01/2009 1:24 PM
66.92 (4.64) 4.08 N/A 09/08/2009 3:34 PM
53.69 (1.7) 3.88 N/A 09/08/2009 3:33 PM
35.93 (3.31) 3.72 N/A 11/09/2009 11:24 AM
125.59 (5.36) 3.59 N/A 10/05/2009 12:00 PM
57.61 (5.8) 3.50 N/A 08/25/2009 8:24 PM
60.806 (0.89) 3.34 N/A 08/25/2009 8:25 PM
3.05 (5.17) 3.31 N/A 08/25/2009 8:21 PM
21.33 (3.8) 3.23 N/A 11/03/2009 12:44 PM
98.84 (2.75) 3.14 N/A 10/14/2009 10:35 AM
14.19 (4.49) 3.11 N/A 12/01/2009 9:54 AM
18.06 (3.08) 3.07 N/A 12/01/2009 1:29 PM
19.9 (4.24) 2.99 N/A 11/10/2009 10:37 AM
98.32 (0.63) 2.94 N/A 11/10/2009 3:39 PM
44.32 (3.02) 2.75 N/A 08/25/2009 8:25 PM
13.1801 (2.49) 2.72 N/A 11/16/2009 10:19 AM
62.92 (-0.1) 2.70 N/A 12/01/2009 1:23 PM
38.29 (2.93) 2.58 N/A 11/23/2009 1:48 PM
96.79 (0.1) 2.46 N/A 11/16/2009 10:19 AM
15.06 (3.08) 2.36 N/A 09/28/2009 1:11 PM
38.2 (1.11) 2.35 N/A 10/06/2009 10:23 AM
20.3 (4.37) 2.28 N/A 11/03/2009 12:44 PM
8.98 (-4.26) 2.22 N/A 11/25/2009 4:00 PM
4.07 (-0.97) 2.21 N/A 08/25/2009 8:19 PM
25.33 (1.73) 2.01 N/A 08/25/2009 8:25 PM
3.476 (-3.18) 1.94 N/A 11/21/2009 8:18 PM
12.19 (0.33) 1.82 N/A 10/29/2009 4:35 PM
1.12 (-3.45) 1.63 N/A 08/25/2009 8:19 PM
5.64 (-0.18) N/A N/A 08/25/2009 8:23 PM

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An Update of Sorts

I wanted to take a few minutes out of my Godly day, in order to update the proletariat, as it pertains to my ongoings. There is much said on these hallowed grounds, most of which is nonsensical and better suited for the stairwells of inner city public high schools.

As much as I cremate you, via outstripping your market performance, I do appreciate your presence. After all, if you were not here to read my unearthly prose, I’d be talking to myself. Come to think about it, that’s not a bad idea. It may bring peace and rubber walls into my life.

Enough with the teary eyed soap opera jargon. Here are some of my fucking positions (randomly placed):

ALU, CROX, LVLT, CAVM, STAR, NVLS, TBSI, OVTI, ASX, CECO, ARUN, CDNS, JDSU, SRS, FXP, FAZ

My approach is simple: take profits when the voices in my head tell me to sell. And, add to current positions or initiate new ones whenever I see my shadow, while relieving myself at my favorite urinal.

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“The Fly’s” Top 10 Holdings

1. Cash

2. National-Oilwell Varco, Inc. [[NOV]] (PPT Hybrid Score: 3.64: Buy)

3. [[UYG]] (PPT Technical Score: 1.65: Strong Sell)

4. The Mosaic Company [[MOS]] (PPT Hybrid Score: 3.69: Buy)

5. [[TBT]] (PPT Technical Score: 1.70: Strong Sell)

6. Citigroup Inc. [[C]] (PPT Hybrid Score: 1.70: Strong Sell)

7. General Electric Company [[GE]] (PPT Hybrid Score: 2.24: Sell)

8. [[M]] (PPT Hybrid Score: 3.19: Buy)

9. Arch Coal, Inc. [[ACI]] (PPT Hybrid Score: 3.36: Buy)

10. The Procter & Gamble Company [[PG]] (PPT Hybrid Score: 3.51: Buy)

NOTE: PPT Hybrid Score is the combination of PPT Technical and Fundamental ranks. A score of 1-2 equals Strong Sell, 2-3 equals Sell, 3-4 equals Buy and 4-5 equals Strong Buy.

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Fly’s Top 10 Holdings

1. [[FXP]]

2. [[SKF]]

3. Agrium Inc. (USA) [[AGU]]

4. short TCF Financial Corporation [[TCB]]

5. short Vulcan Materials Company [[VMC]]

6. [[SRS]]

7. [[REW]]

8. short Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. [[LEH]]

9. [[DUG]]

10. Lockheed Martin Corporation [[LMT]]

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