iBankCoin
Joined Jan 1, 1970
1,010 Blog Posts

The Important Matter of Balance

I alluded to the need for balance in this post.

Here, I’ll  illustrate my points with aviation.

Balance is essential for beginners. When you learn how to fly, or are an amateur, licensed pilot, you typically fly aircraft that are designed to be balanced, and stable, like this:

Galair_Cessna_152.jpg

A Cessna 152.

What do I mean by “stable”? I mean that it’s designed to revert back to the norm when you input a change. If you pull way back on the stick of this airplane for a few seconds, then let go, what’ll happen? It will take a steep climb, lose airspeed, then dive for a while, gain airspeed, climb, lose airspeed, etc, oscillating up and down, and eventually stabilize itself back to level flight. Your input is damped out, and things return to normal. The plane could, literally, fly itself until the gas ran out.

This is opposed to an “unstable” airplane, like this:

GreyF14FastPass10oClock.jpg

An F-14 Tomcat.

Opposed to the damping input, this kind of aircraft is unstable in that it AMPLIFIES your input. You pull the stick way back, and it will scream upwards. If you let go of it, it’ll go completely out of control, and you die.

Why would they build an inherently unstable aircraft? Because if you know what you’re doing, you can make it do unbelievably nimble, tactical aerobatics. IF you know what you’re doing.

The slow Cessna will be less affected by your piloting, whether they’re horrible or superb. The Tomcat will amplify your skill, or complete lack thereof.

This is where I’ll segue into trading in the stock market.

Living a “balanced” life as a trader means that if you make one error, the inherent stability and balance in your life and trading plan will damp out the error, absorb it, and eventually even things out. The drawback here is that if you’re really good at trading, the balance, (which in my mind means time spent exercising, sleeping, spending time with your family, etc) will also “dampen” your success. Your skill won’t show up quite so much, since trading is a smaller part of your balanced life. Hence, “balance” helps you when you’re new and learning from mistakes, but restricts you when you really know what you’re doing.

The Obsessed Expert versus The Obsessed Imbecile

I notice my life becoming unbalanced when I stay up late, spending way too much time looking at charts, over-trade, and generally become consumed with the stock market. When this happens, even my small errors lead straight  to bigger ones, and occasionally, a death spiral.

Have you ever noticed the time-stamp on blog posts or comments made by some of the tabbed bloggers on this site? I wonder how, for example, The Fly gets any sleep at all, when he’s trolling The PPT at 2:30 am on a sunday night. From my perspective, he and others here are very unbalanced. They’re abnormal. But that’s because they’re flying the F-14, and are able to “fly” circles around the idiots, shooting them down and moving on to the next tool. Their abnormality enhances their success. They should be unbalanced, because they’re that good.

Following _____’s Trades

I think it’s amazing, reading comments of a few clearly dimwitted people on this site who like to try and follow on Fly’s trades, or anyone’s trades. That’s potentially like a new private pilot watching the Blue Angels, and then thinking,

“I’m going to get in a supersonic jet and follow that guy, and do all the same aerobatic moves he does! This will be easy!”

If you don’t have the hair on your chest yet, don’t fly with the big swinging dicks! Learn some of the principles they use, then scale it back a little bit. Keeping balance will keep your wits about you, and keep things in perspective. Someone who reads Cramer’s investing books and then starts trading with FAZ and FAS, or TNA for that matter, is probably caught in the bizarre misconception that you can make money without putting in hard work.

I remember a month or so back when THE FLY bought TNA. A bunch of people said that they got in that trade, following him. Did they have any idea of his rationale behind buying it? His timeframe? How that buy worked into his other strategies? Negative. Many of them jumped in the cockpit of a dangerous machine, and were subsequently keelhauled.

I learned this through trial and error, noted it, and moved on. I’m an amateur, and try not to get into deeper water than I’m able to swim out of.  I’m learning more with every mistake made, and lately, that it’s important to seek balance.

Follow the Warning Signs

Also important to note is that there are always signs which warn me of pending imbalance. For me, some of them are:

  • Irregular sleep patterns.
  • Starting to smoke, out of anxiety & nervousness.
  • Drinking unreasonably.
  • Neglecting goals and good habits.
  • Self-inflicted seclusion.

I notice a few of these , and throttle it back a bit. What level of equilibrium are you comfortable with? Are you in way over your head?

In conclusion, take some risks, and learn from them. Your trading risk can mature as you mature as a trader, speculator, or investor. Think about what a balanced life looks like to you, and what might be warning signs of imbalance. Over time, you’ll be able to catch dropping knives, fly with the pros, and one day, bank some serious coin.

 

As always, post a comment with your thoughts, criticisms. I appreciate them all.

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6 comments

  1. scum bucket

    Hello hammy,

    Whatever your goal, this:

    Irregular sleep patterns.
    Starting to smoke, out of anxiety & nervousness.
    Drinking unreasonably.
    Neglecting goals and good habits.
    Self-inflicted seclusion.

    Isn’t likely to get you there. Personally I fly the 152 to combat boredom. If I had Hank Paulson’s money I wouldn’t try that F-14, and neither would he. You have to realize something, what you are doing is gambling, admit it. Sure, you might have an edge over doofus roofus betting his home equity, but da boyz aren’t gambling. They exploit known weaknesses in the legal and financial system. Keep things in perspective. More people have gone bust trying to score big than any other way.

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  2. hammy

    wikipedia defines gambling as:

    “the wagering of money or something of material value on an event with an uncertain outcome with the primary intent of winning additional money and/or material goods.”

    Sounds a lot like day trading or even swing trading.

    here’s its definition of “investing”:

    “the active redirecting resources from being consumed today so that they may create benefits in the future”

    Bottom line, I think most of what people do in the stock market could technically be called “gambling”.

    thanks for the comment

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  3. scum bucket

    I read somewhere that bill gates sometimes plays blackjack, and for $5 a hand. By that definition he doesn’t gamble. Everything is a gamble for the rest of us.

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  4. howie2092

    Great post, Hammy. Very relevant.

    I got myself into this exact mess recently, with ALL of the warning signs. Found myself overtrading and taking on too much risk.

    As a way to break the spiral, I went to cash and bought another handful of trading books. Plan is to read (and re-read) them over the next week, then roll back into trading/investing with a clear head.

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  5. chanci

    As the daughter of a very gifted AF pilot, I loved your analogy.

    I love the stock market, it is my passion, but I don’t have to make a certain amount of money. I’ll never trade for a living, and I’ll probably never be rich, and I am so conservative any more with my money that I am in it for the love of it and my account slowly gets bigger. Go figure. When I stopped caring so much about how much I make in it, or what other people think about my trades or about me, and do it for the love of the game, it all falls into place.

    I got nothing to prove. And I won’t ever bet the farm, I won’t use credit or margin, I pay my bills first and foremost. The money I use is my trading money, my walkabout money.

    To me that is the key.

    I used to work in a casino in Reno, and I never gambled. I hate casinos to this day. I saw grown people pee their pants before they would leave their stupid slot machines. Grown men sitting at the bar drinking and playing poker machines while losing in the upper hundreds of dollars a sitting. A pawn shop on ever corner, a used car lot on ever other corner, sleeping homeless people laying in the warmness of the open doors before they all got bussed to the shelter on a daily basis.

    Where is the skill, the instinct, the love of the game in that? Blech!

    I’ll stop now. LOL

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  6. Darius

    Its just a game.

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