Do you like unordered lists? Â Here’s a few of them. Â Before reading, you may want to hit play on the video below to provide some famous house beats from our featured band:
So I spent the last 3 days in Las Vegas and have made the following observations…
OMG, we’re (still) in a fucking recession…now PANIC and FREAK OUT!
- I could get a (fountain-view) room at the Bellagio for $100 or a strip-view room at the Wynn (2 weeks out) for $175 (with $75 resort credit).
- Half the cabanas at the Bellagio pool went unsold on Saturday ($300/day).
- Could only count 2 occupied cabanas (out of ~100) at the Wynn on Sunday.
- I could actually walk down the strip without having to rub shoulders with every other person I came across.
- There was no outrageous rush-hour (Friday eveneing/Sunday afternoon) clusterfuck at the airport. Â No feelings of claustrophobia whatsoever!
- Several cabbies tried to pull the $10-minimum shit.
- I could get a center spot at the railing for the Bellagio fountain show without any problems at all hours of the day (granted, I obviously wasn’t there for every single show, just a fairly random sampling in the afternoon, evening, and midnight).
- I could get into the lounge at Joe’s (@ Caesar’s) at 8pm (party of 2) without a wait.
- Literally EVERY single store was having a sale, regardless of location. Â From the standard mall stores of the Miracle Mile through the upscale shops at The Forum Shops to Manolo Blahnik/LV/Cartier/Chanel/Ferrari at the Wynn. Â And these weren’t just your usual “3 items on 1 rack are 10% off”…these were 30-50% off the entire store!
- Only about half the population of Mexico was out snapping their whore-cards at you. Â They used to bring over everybody in years past. Â Hell, I think I even saw a couple whities proudly displaying their ‘Girls direct to you’ shirts…
Nah…Vegas is (still) recession proof!
- The Bank (@ Bellagio) still had the balls to charge you $20/drink, $7/bottled water, and $1000 for bottle service at their shitty-ass VIP “booth”.
- Carnival Court (@ Harrah’s) was actually charging a cover!
- I think I saw a few construction workers at the still-in-progress City Center.
- Ummm…yeah, that’s about it.
So there ya have it…take it for what’s it worth…but Vegas, as I mentioned above, has always been billed in my mind as ‘recession proof’. Â Apparently…just maybe…not so much.
And taking a quick/cursory look at options activity…the index put/call ratio has fallen to its lowest level since the 5th of May!
While this reading may seem bullish at face value, we’re working with the theory that the put/call ratio is a contrarian indicator at its extremes. Â Thus, I will be buying some SPY puts at tomorrow’s open (while all my trades with this ’system’ have been virtual so far, I may yet do this for real…depends on how I feel in the morning). Â Performance so far:







Thanks for the insight, I love vegas, but also smart enough to know they are in trouble. Been running on bear call spreads on MGM (bellagio) and making good coin. keep up the good work!
Speaking of Vegas…worth a chuckle…local reporter administers justice to a somewhat unruly middle-of-the-day drunk:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QA49v4CgSwM