Thursday, March 11th, 2010

My old (few months old) Chinese Swine Flu favorite SVA is looking nice here the last few days.  Here is a chart showing the setup:

I like this chart overall.  Nice overall trendline and volume.  I like the activity the last few days with increasing volume as it approaches the breakout line.  I picked up some [...]

In a peanut gallery post a month or so ago I introduced my interest in F stock due to bullish developments looking at google search volume analysis. 
This has continued to develop in a bullish way and the last week or so F stock is breaking out so today I picked some up.  Here is the [...]

(from Dr. Seuss’ The 500 hats of Bartholomew Cubbins)
Many apologies folks for disrespecting the appointment of King of the Peanut Gallery.  It turns out I took an unplanned extended vacation to the wilderness of the great state of Maine in my RV with the family.  Ever since I bought the RV a few years ago, [...]

The Case Shiller housing index was released today.  It was down over last month but there were a few signs of hope for the optimistic.  Here is my chart with my 18 month ARIMA forecast for housing prices (click for a bigger/better view):

So my forecast model has home prices as measured by the 10-city Case [...]

As many others, I have been watching Natural Gas (UNG) lately.  I have done a number of posts on my blog analyzing natural gas price and other data.  Most recently I looked at the price ratio of natural gas and crude and developed an ARIMA model looking at the time behavior of that ratio and [...]

I have a few different market indicators I use to try to figure out where the market is headed over the next few months.  As I have mentioned before, I don’t “trade” as in day or few day trading but I do try to catch multimonth swings in the market and allocate my money in [...]

To see the setup of this strangle play with an explanation of the strangle setup see my previous Peanut Gallery post.
PCX looks to have broken down, rather than up out of its consolidation range when I set up this strangle a couple of weeks ago.  They announced a big issuance of new shares which added [...]

I have been looking alot at various energy prices and how they are interrelated and what drives prices in various ones.  Natural gas moves in general with crude but natural gas has alot more volatility and movement that is not crude driven (as opposed to fuel oil and gasoline which tend to move mostly just [...]

I was looking at PCX’s chart thinking it looked like a good options strangle setup.  So I figured I would plot it out like I did my SPY chart (read that previous post if you don’t know what an options strangle is or you want to see the SPY options strangle setup)  because I really liked [...]

I posted a blog post today looking at some Google search volume analysis around auto sales and specifically Ford.  I think it gives a bullish case for Ford stock over the next months/years.  Here is one of the charts on it (click for a larger view):

What you see is first of all how the search [...]